BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Fitchburg St
Class: 3 Class Rank: 237 Conference: Massachusetts State Collegiate Athletic Conference Record: (1-7) Overall: (2-8) Overall Strength = 35.82
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/07/2019 Away L 29.02 0 63 3 41 ( 8- 3) Cortland St -3.83 * -59.17
2 09/14/2019 Home W 42.33 12 10 3 224 ( 2- 7) Castleton 9.47 -7.47
3 09/21/2019 Away L * 42.50 13 37 3 155 ( 7- 3) UMass-Dartmouth 9.65 * -33.65
4 09/28/2019 Home L * 22.95 6 50 3 143 ( 6- 4) Bridgewater St MA -9.91 * -34.09
5 10/05/2019 Away L * 22.17 0 42 3 170 ( 6- 4) Plymouth St -10.69 -31.31
6 10/12/2019 Home L * 27.07 7 56 3 100 ( 8- 3) Framingham St -5.79 * -43.21
7 10/19/2019 Away L * 27.92 0 37 3 169 ( 6- 4) Mass Maritime -4.94 * -32.06
8 10/26/2019 Home L * 28.19 7 26 3 208 ( 2- 8) Westfield St -4.67 -14.33
9 11/01/2019 Away W * 56.40 30 14 3 233 ( 0- 10) Worcester St 23.54 -7.54
10 11/09/2019 Home L * 30.03 7 41 3 153 ( 8- 3) Western Conn St -2.83 -31.17
Averages 32.86 8.2 37.6
Best game: 56.40 = 16 point win over Worcester St
Worst game: 22.17 = 42 point loss to Plymouth St
Team stdev: 10.81